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Thu, Jul 24

Shell Upstream NAV: Discount Rate Sensitivity Analysis

We analyzed how varying WACC inputs shift equity NAV/share in Shell's upstream oil valuation models:

๐Ÿ”น 12% โ†’ $71.20/share
๐Ÿ”น 10% (Base Case) โ†’ $74.74/share
๐Ÿ”น 8% โ†’ $79.00/share

A move from 12% to 8% implies a 35%+ valuation jump.
This isnโ€™t just financeโ€”itโ€™s a strategic framing of risk.

Full write-up and model at PetroSymposium.

https://www.petrosymposium.com/p/shells-true-worth-a-net-asset-value?r=59s3mr

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