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Wed, Jul 23

Free Cash Flow Yield: The Most Reliable Lens on Oil & Gas Value Today

As the oil market shifts towards capital discipline, free cash flow (FCF) yield is the best way to measure operator quality and value.

I analyzed nine major oil & gas companies’ trailing twelve months FCF, FCF yield, dividend yields, and market caps.

  • Petrobras delivers the highest FCF yield (27.8%) but faces structural risk.

  • European majors show better valuation opportunities than U.S. upstream leaders.

  • Saudi Aramco’s enormous $306B FCF corresponds to a 5% yield, reflecting sovereign backing.

This chart summarizes the key metrics for investors seeking clean, cash-driven value in 2025.

https://open.substack.com/pub/alexanderfernandez/p/cash-kings-or-capital-traps-2025?r=59s3mr&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

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