Geopolitical experts are losing faith that climate change will unite the world—but they're terrified of the wars it might cause. (Semafor)
In a new Atlantic Council survey of 450 experts, only 17% now see climate change as the top threat to global prosperity. Fewer than 20% believe it will drive political cooperation—a sharp drop from two years ago when half saw it as a unifying force.
Despite the waning focus on general climate security, specific resource wars loom large: 64% of respondents predict a war over fresh water access will break out before 2036.