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Mon, Aug 4

Geopolitical Shockwaves: How Russian Sanctions Are Reshaping Oil Dynamics in East Asia

With the ongoing sanctions on Russian crude exports, East Asia—traditionally reliant on stable long-haul supplies—is witnessing a realignment of energy corridors. From shadow fleet logistics to discounted Ural barrels flooding non-Western markets, this shift has not only affected benchmark pricing but also exposed vulnerabilities in regional refining strategies.

In this post, I will explore:

  • How China, India, and Malaysia are adjusting procurement strategies

  • The role of shadow tankers in navigating sanctions

  • Why regional refining margins are increasingly volatile

  • How this disruption could accelerate local upstream investments and new crude contracts (e.g., yuan-denominated deals)

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