I started my career in high tech as the first PC rolled off the assembly line. And in the early days I competed against and did deals with Microsoft. Bill Gates is often described as a visionary, but I don’t think the label applies. He and Microsoft were late in developing Windows, and he completely missed the evolution to internet browser technology.
Gates is now involved in climate change and his “vision” hasn’t gotten any better. He recently said that he doesn’t believe the world will meet the Paris Agreement goals and that keeping warming to 2 degrees C “isn’t that likely.”
No kidding. Bill – what was your first clue?
Even the UN has basically given up on the 1.5C target. In a recent report, it estimates that based on current country emission reduction plans, we’ll warm by 2.9 degrees C. I suspect that is the more likely scenario, and we can only hope that the damage that will stem from that is not irreversible.
For some reason the human race has a problem with long-term planning. We prefer to wait until things hit crisis level to act. That inclination is foolish on so many levels. It’s particularly foolish when it comes to climate change because once crisis becomes reality, it will be too late.
I’ve repeatedly said we need to stop making believe we can hit 1.5 degrees C. Doing so isn’t productive. We need to assess the areas of shortfall, the reasons for those shortfalls, and develop a realistic plan that maximizes our finite human and financial resources. And yes, then cross our fingers that it isn’t too late.