AMI – Part 2, Creating Demand
The first paper in this series, Roots, can be accessed via the link below.
"Build a better mousetrap, and the world will beat a path to your door"
- Ralph Waldo Emerson
Mr. Emerson may have been a great author and poet, but he clearly knew nothing about marketing. The above is one of my least favorite sayings, as there have been many thousands of really good products that never found a market, and thus were failures. Without some circumstances creating a market, advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) might well have been added to this list.
This paper will describe some of the most important circumstances that boot-strapped AMI from a "good product" to a successful system. This paper and the next are somewhat interchangeable. This will describe circumstances, and the next the technology. The reason I am writing this paper first is so I can finish my C&I metering story, started in the last paper, in the section below.
2.Success for C&I
California has been my home state since 1975. In my career, the utilities I worked with were frequently in California. My state has a large investor-owned utility (IOU) and two very large IOUs (respectively, SDGE, SCE and PG&E), and also two very large municipal utilities (SMUD and LADWP). In addition, it has numerous other medium-to-small public utilities.
LADWP is the largest muni in the country. As of the beginning of Y2K, the partnership of Siemens and SmartSynch had not sold any large C&I metering systems. In 1999 we found out that LADWP was planning the procurement of a very large system, with potentially 25,000 meters. Thus we started an aggressive sales campaign. We bid this project at the beginning of 2000, and received the award that year.
At that point I moved back to my SCADA career, and the rest of the story (per my memory) follows. The LADWP system was implemented in phases, and I believe the early phases of our system were reasonably successful. At that point, the California Public Utility Commission (CPUC) ordered all of the IOUs to implement similar systems for their largest customers. SmartSynch was reasonably successful in getting large orders from those deployments. Thus I was lucky a second time.
3.Back to AMI
I only went back to SCADA for about a year. Then I went to work for Comverge (Ironically, both SmartSynch and Comverge were later acquired by Itron). The main business of Comverge was load management systems (a.k.a. demand response systems), but they also had developed a very early AMI system (that actually worked), and were developing C&I metering products. Although we had some reasonably successful C&I metering products, I will now depart that market.
I also will not say much about the Comverge AMI system, as it was an interim technology, and I never heard that they were able to compete once the current AMI technology immerged.
Shortly after I joined Comverge, the State of California started the Joint CPUC-CEC Demand Response Proceeding, R.02-06-001. This consisted of three working groups:
- Working Group 1. Leadership from the CPUC and the California Energy Commission (CEC).
- WG-2. Large Buildings, >200 kW (interval meters installed)
- WG-3. Smaller customers that are the primary targets for AMI.
The methods to be used to drive demand response were to be system-load-sensitive pricing and price transparency. This meant that customer paid more for power when the system load was high. At that time the traditional proxy for this was a two- or three-tier time-of-use tariff: during weekdays the energy price was highest during the day (peak) and lower at night (off-peak). Three-tier also has a "partial-peak" between peak and off-peak. To make a very long story short, where we ended up, was adding another component to this: critical peak pricing (CPP). CPP raises the price of energy by a factor of approximately ten when the system-peak demand reaches a critical level.
AMI required small customers to have profile metering, a method to provide price transparency and also a method to trigger price-responsive appliances (like HVAC thermostats). A major pilot, the Statewide Pricing Pilot was run by the three IOUs for two years with a total of 2,500 customers (primarily residential). This pilot confirmed the following demand response:
- Average energy savings for CPP_F customers of 13% (average) during the critical peak periods (CPP_F = 5 hour CPP event; customers without smart thermostats)
- Average energy savings for CPP_V customers of 30% (average) during the critical peak periods (CPP_V = event period varies 2 to 5 hours; customers have smart thermostats and receive a signal from utility that set-up thermostats)
- Since either of the above tariffs were designed to be price-neutral, most customers should have a net electric bill savings.
- Savings show little degradation from summer 2003 to summer 2004 (critical peaks occur during the summer in California due to air conditioning loads).
- Savings remain nearly the same even over three-day critical load events (heat-storms).
The following is from the tariffs for large customers (PG&E E20). CPP (now peak-day-pricing or PDP) is limited to fifteen times a year, lasts from 2:00 PM until 6:00 PM. During a PDP event energy pricing increases by a factor of eight. There is day-ahead notification, and an electronic notification is provided at the time of the event and a special website provides measured (but not validated) consumption before and during each event.
Since I was the only California-resident employee that Comverge had at the time of the start of this proceeding, I was drafted as the primary representative. I attended all or almost all of the WG3 meetings, and most of the WG2 meetings. During this time I worked with many individuals from the utilities, the CEC, CPUC and other vendors from the AMI and meter industries. This was an educational and exciting time for me. Thus I was lucky a third time.
All three major IOUs in California began to install AMI meters and supporting systems around 2005 to 2006. The installation required several years because of the size of these utilities (numbers below are current):
- PG&E: 5.4 million electric accounts and 4.3 million natural gas accounts.
- SCE: Serves 15 million people (electric only)
- SDGE: 1.4 million electric accounts and 840,000 natural gas accounts
I believe that all three utility projects are completed. Natural gas accounts are listed because the payback required both electric and gas meters to communicate in order to completely displace the manual meter-reading system.
In addition to the above AMI system sales, the WG3 meetings ignited a market that spread across the country. The organizers invited all interested parties, including utility employees and regulatory representatives, from other states. Since we completed the California proceedings, I have heard of many other states (and even a few entities outside of the U.S.) starting similar initiatives.