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WANTED: Smart grid from scratch
- Posted on December 18, 2011
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Having narrowly voted in favor of exploring municipalization, and a break with Xcel Energy, Boulder, Colo. is moving to hire someone to guide its energy strategy, including the development of its own electric utility.
The search reflects Boulder's first steps in pursuit of a municipal utility following a related vote last month. Should Boulder succeed in an effort widely viewed as a multi-year endeavor fraught with technical, financial and political hurdles, it would be the first relatively large-scale municipal utility formed in decades.
So the effort is being closely watched nationally for at least three possible implications: How does a city build a smart grid virtually from scratch? What is the impact for an investor-owned utility facing the defection of a major customer? And what are the lessons for at least small cities that might aspire to follow suit?
The stated objectives for the job of energy strategist in Boulder make it clear that in addition to determining short-term, tangible steps towards Boulder's energy future, the "executive director of energy strategy and electric utility development" will lead what may be a historic quest. There's probably no modern precedent for a city of Boulder's size shedding its provider and setting up shop on its own. The context is a 20-30 year vision that includes "new methods of energy management."
The job description cites the need for "a new business model" that emphasizes "energy as a service," and cites Boulder's goals for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and promoting economic vitality, customer choice and the perennial values of reliable and affordable electricity.
As Boulder's aspirations include reaching 80 percent renewable energy and any strategy that looks out a couple decades must include digital smarts for an interactive grid with lots of moving parts, well, the shorthand for all of the above is "smart grid."
(For background on Boulder's stance, see its "Know Your Power: A Community Guide.")
Frankly, I think that, much like the space race, Boulder's mere exploration of creating its own utility will have spin-off benefits in terms of knowledge around technical feasibility and financial and legal challenges. The question for Boulderites is: at what cost? The potential outcomes are many, including the possibility of a new paradigm for its relationship with Xcel, should it find municipalization technically or financially unfeasible.
How both parties conduct themselves as the process unfolds will speak volumes to the aspirations of a city whose citizens want to take a leadership role in an emerging, energy-centric economy and society and to the tactics of an investor-owned utility facing societal shifts that disrupt a traditional business model.
Admittedly, that's some highfalutin' language, considering that both parties have very pragmatic, short-term interests at stake. Boulder is fairly evenly divided on municipalization, with aspirations tempered by financial realities—mostly a fear that the city may not be able to match Xcel's electricity rates as it builds a grid of the future. That could dampen the local economy rather than support its vitality. But who knows? Perhaps Boulder can pull it off. Perhaps Boulderites will elect long-term sustainability and embrace a shift away from coal and accept higher costs. Perhaps the city's mission will divide its citizenry and establish the futility of its vision.
Xcel operates an immense set of grids across eight states and in Colorado is moving to transition coal-fired power to natural gas and incorporate wind at ambitious levels under the state's renewable portfolio standard of 30 percent by 2020. As an investor-owned utility, it seeks to maximize profit while navigating state-level regulatory demands, balancing responsibilities to shareholders with obligations to customers. Its stance and behavior leading up to last month's vote reflected its interest in keeping Boulder and its $100 million contribution to the company's annual revenue in the fold.
That said, starry-eyed Boulder is girding for a street brawl. The city is also seeking two attorneys, one an expert in condemnation proceedings and another wise in the ways of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), which in a disputed case would assess the value of Xcel's stranded assets for which Boulder would have to pay. That value is a major unknown variable with the potential to deal Boulder's municipalization dream a rude awakening.
FERC's rules regarding the assessment of stranded assets changed in March, according to Boulder spokesperson Sarah Huntley, communications coordinator for the city manager's office, making it difficult to forecast the outcome of that piece of the puzzle.
If I had to make a prediction, it's that Boulder will proceed to develop its multi-faceted plans for its energy future, including assessing the daunting technical, financial and political challenges of municipalization. It must attempt to persuade nearly half its citizens, including the critical business sector, that the benefits outweigh the costs and that big unknowns can be made tangible to manage risk. Prudence would dictate the development of criteria for ending its quest for a municipal utility and a vision for what a resulting relationship with Xcel might look like. I'd expect to hear discussion of microgrids emerge, as that option might allow a degree of independence and self-sufficiency, while retaining Xcel as a provider of last resort.
On Xcel's side, I see a multi-pronged effort to retain a significant customer. That might mean driving a wedge into the Boulder community, using the fear of the unknown, particularly costs, to sow doubt in the influential business sector. Meanwhile, playing legal rope-a-dope might run up the city's legal bills and contribute to doubts in the community. And who knows? Xcel might play a very skilled PR game that precludes wearing a black hat.
Meanwhile, another factor of unknown import circles the two protagonists: some Boulderites believe that Xcel chose their city for the SmartGridCity experiment in order to keep the Boulder franchise in place. SmartGridCity, of course, famously ran into huge cost overruns and a controversial cost recovery process. In its latest filing for further cost recovery, Xcel assured the Colorado Public Utilities Commission that Boulder's vote to pursue municipalization bore no relevance to the technical success of SmartGridCity.
So let the dance begin. I hope to bring you Xcel's view of this impending pas de deux soon. I believe this will be one of the most intriguing stories of the coming decade.
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